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Latest News


American unemployment falls, but normality is still far away

5 June 2020, 1:00 am
The question remains: how many jobs have gone for good?

Americans saved a record chunk of their incomes in April

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
The economic recovery depends on their willingness to splash the cash

Can Hong Kong remain a global financial centre?

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
The $10trn financial centre is in the eye of a geopolitical storm

Japan probes the limits of economic policy

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
Including loan guarantees, fiscal support this year will amount to 40% of GDP

ESG investors get their heads around social risks

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
Thanks to covid-19, these woolly risk factors are in the limelight

America’s public-pension funding crisis worsens

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
Funding ratios have fallen and the cost of provision has risen

Is there a role for options insurance in equity portfolios?

4 June 2020, 3:47 pm
Nassim Taleb and Cliff Asness, two high-level thinkers on finance, disagree

Downturns tend to reduce gender inequality. Not under covid-19

4 June 2020, 1:00 am
Women’s unemployment has risen more than men’s

For the first time in 30 years, China has no GDP target

30 May 2020, 1:00 am
The government will not set one this year, reflecting the pandemic’s uncertainties

Can private-equity firms turn a crisis into an opportunity?

30 May 2020, 1:00 am
Their performance matters both for investors and the wider economy

The World Bank lands Carmen Reinhart as chief economist

30 May 2020, 1:00 am
Ms Reinhart is one of the most widely cited economists in the world

The pandemic could lead statisticians to change how they estimate GDP

30 May 2020, 1:00 am
Data gaps are rife, but statisticians may eventually understand better how the economy works

Will covid-19 halt the rise of private equity in Europe?

28 May 2020, 3:48 pm
PE firms are better prepared for a downturn, and seem to be more welcome

China’s economists debate deficit monetisation

28 May 2020, 3:48 pm
Inflation hawks seem to be prevailing—in theory, if not entirely in practice

What is the link between inflation and equity returns?

28 May 2020, 3:48 pm
Stocks are a decent inflation hedge in the long run, but over shorter horizons, there is an inverse relationship

The legacy of Alberto Alesina

28 May 2020, 1:00 am
He traced the links between culture, politics and fiscal policy

Covid-19 forced trading floors to close. They’ll be back

25 May 2020, 1:00 am
They are likely to last for as long as traders want them

Should the Fed cut rates below zero?

23 May 2020, 1:00 am
Negative rates are not a cure for what ails the global economy

Tracking the economic recovery

23 May 2020, 1:00 am
Though some lockdowns are being lifted, economies are not roaring back

A memo to candidates for the WTO’s next boss

23 May 2020, 1:00 am
What Roberto Azevêdo’s prospective successor should expect

Why interest rates are so high in Africa

21 May 2020, 3:53 pm
Banks generate high returns, but have steep costs

Sovereign-wealth funds face lean years

21 May 2020, 3:53 pm
Revenues have fallen, and governments are eyeing their riches

Why you need to read Jane Austen to appreciate perpetual bonds

21 May 2020, 3:53 pm
It takes a nineteenth-century perspective to see the merit of consols

How to fight an economic crisis in a monetary union

16 May 2020, 1:00 am
Philip Lane, the ECB’s chief economist, lays out his framework

Why the pandemic could eventually lower inequality

16 May 2020, 1:00 am
History suggests it could precipitate shifts towards a more equal income distribution

Award

14 May 2020, 3:47 pm

Turkey’s defence of the lira has been unwise and ineffective

14 May 2020, 3:47 pm
The country is trying to strengthen its currency—at the expense of weaker banks

America files a new financial salvo at Beijing

14 May 2020, 1:00 am
The White House seeks to stop a government pension fund investing in China

Could travel bubbles offer a route to economic recovery?

14 May 2020, 1:00 am
The economic gains would be large, but the health requirements could be vexing

In bleak times for banks, India's digital-payments system wins praise

9 May 2020, 1:00 am
Digital loans could be next

Could the pandemic give America’s labour movement a boost?

9 May 2020, 1:00 am
Gig workers are organising, in tech-savvy ways

Emerging markets launch QE, too

7 May 2020, 3:55 pm
Unconventional monetary policy is not just for the rich world

With oil prices depressed, China presides over a buyer’s market

7 May 2020, 3:55 pm
Oil and gas suppliers are toiling to secure Chinese demand

Losses by central banks are nothing to fear

7 May 2020, 3:55 pm
They do not reflect financial doom. But they expose the fragility of independence

Credit-rating agencies are back under the spotlight

7 May 2020, 3:55 pm
This time is different from the financial crisis—sort of

A perky stockmarket v a glum economy

7 May 2020, 1:00 am
Explaining the stockmarket rally

For microfinance lenders, covid-19 is an existential threat

5 May 2020, 1:00 am
Yet, in the post-pandemic world, the world’s poor will need them more than ever

In many ways, stockmarkets have been extraordinary in 2020

3 May 2020, 1:00 am
How this year’s crash differs from bear markets of the past

America’s cities and states face a cash crunch

2 May 2020, 1:00 am
Help from the federal government and the Federal Reserve may be on the way

Politicians in America and Europe scramble to help small firms

2 May 2020, 1:00 am
But their schemes are meeting with mixed success

America’s large firms can count on generous government support

2 May 2020, 1:00 am
But there are strings attached

Why the unemployed in America could face a lost decade

2 May 2020, 1:00 am
Even under the rosiest of assumptions, a labour-market crisis is looming

How to detect business fraud

30 April 2020, 3:53 pm
Carson Block, a short-seller, on uncovering false accounting

Melissa Dell wins the John Bates Clark medal

30 April 2020, 3:53 pm
Her work on conflict and coercion has changed how economists think about development

Why the euro is more durable than it looks

25 April 2020, 1:00 am
The commitments of a shared currency are not so easily shaken off

How risk-parity investment strategies unravelled

25 April 2020, 1:00 am
The value of portfolios plunged when bond and stock prices began to move in tandem

Hedge funds hope the slump will make them relevant again

25 April 2020, 1:00 am
Seismic shifts in capital allocation have contributed to a rotten decade

Oil markets have a timing problem

25 April 2020, 1:00 am
As crude inventories rise, so does the pressure on the market

How to think about moral hazard during a pandemic

25 April 2020, 1:00 am
Economists are rightly relaxed about the risks for now

China aims to launch the world’s first official digital currency

23 April 2020, 3:49 pm
Little by little, the central bank will acquire more power to track how money is used

Wall Street prepares for a wave of loan losses

18 April 2020, 1:00 am
Banks’ first-quarter earnings reveal how customers are coping with the pandemic

The case for emerging-market stocks

18 April 2020, 1:00 am
The ideal diversifier is something that contrasts with what you own

Covid-19 could lead to the return of inflation—eventually

18 April 2020, 1:00 am
Once the virus is truly beaten, the crisis could weaken structural forces weighing on demand

How deep will downturns in rich countries be?

16 April 2020, 1:00 am
Those in central and southern Europe seem most vulnerable

Why has China’s stimulus been so stingy?

16 April 2020, 1:00 am
The lingering threat of covid-19 forestalls a bigger stimulus

The dollar’s dominance masks China’s rise in finance

16 April 2020, 1:00 am
The pandemic is a fillip for China’s currency and fintech firms

A historic OPEC+ deal to curb oil output faces many obstacles

13 April 2020, 1:00 am
It marks a ceasefire in the price war, not a lasting truce

Many economists defend disaster profiteers. They are wrong

11 April 2020, 1:00 am
With price gouging, morality trumps economics

Should the IMF dole out more special drawing rights?

11 April 2020, 1:00 am
Some economists are calling for an increase, but there are hurdles in the way

Why a lot of startups will come to regret their unicorn status

8 April 2020, 3:48 pm
After many funding rounds, they could be sitting under a mountain of debt-like claims

Joe Stiglitz and the IMF have warmed to each other

8 April 2020, 3:48 pm
The fund seems to have won over its most fearsome critic

Labour markets take a dramatic turn for the worse

8 April 2020, 3:48 pm
America’s unemployment rate could rise to 15% this year

How sick might banks get?

8 April 2020, 1:00 am
They have entered this crisis in better health than the previous one

Emerging-market lockdowns match rich-world ones. The handouts do not

4 April 2020, 1:00 am
Few emerging-economy governments can afford a generous fiscal response

Economists’ forecasts for GDP growth in 2020 vary widely

4 April 2020, 1:00 am
But all expect a dreadful year

The departing boss of Norway’s oil fund on building an asset manager

4 April 2020, 1:00 am
Norges Bank Investment Management is the world’s single largest owner of equities

What missed rent and mortgage payments mean for the financial system

4 April 2020, 12:00 am
April 1st was payday—and the day that big bills were due

How Allianz is dealing with market turmoil

4 April 2020, 12:00 am
Europe’s largest insurer is exposed through its life-insurance and its asset-management arms

What China’s interest-rate muddle says about its financial system

2 April 2020, 3:49 pm
Ask a Chinese economist what the benchmark rate is, and brace yourself for an avalanche of numbers

Bills due on April 1st add to the financial strains of covid-19

31 March 2020, 1:00 am
As Americans lose their jobs and incomes, the government helps with rent and mortgage payments

The ECB breaks its self-imposed rules

26 March 2020, 12:00 am
But will its latest salvo alone ensure a healthy expansion?

If you thought the trade war was bad for global commerce...

26 March 2020, 12:00 am
The disruption from the pandemic will be much worse

America’s central bank is not the only one doling out greenbacks

26 March 2020, 12:00 am
Central banks in emerging markets are conducting auctions

America’s mortgage market sickens

26 March 2020, 12:00 am

An imaginative template for dealing with the cash crunch

26 March 2020, 12:00 am
The world of distressed lending offers a guide

Saudi Arabia floods the oil market; America tries to prop up prices

26 March 2020, 12:00 am
But for supply to match demand, they may have to fall even further

How to pay for the pandemic

25 March 2020, 12:00 am
Covid-19 could usher in a new era of sovereign-debt management

The dollar is in high demand, prone to dangerous appreciation

21 March 2020, 12:00 am
The Fed does not want to be the world’s central bank

Why America’s financial plumbing has seized up

21 March 2020, 12:00 am
Central-bank action is failing to stem the rout

The agonies of stock-picking in a falling market

21 March 2020, 12:00 am
A fictional fund manager in his pyjamas ponders capitulation

Exchange-traded fundamentals

21 March 2020, 12:00 am
The funds show signs of strain but not panic

Venues may close. Trading should remain open

21 March 2020, 12:00 am
Amid a scramble for cash, the world needs capital markets

Economies can rebound quickly from massive GDP slumps—but not always

19 March 2020, 12:00 am
History suggests full recovery takes, on average, about five years

The Federal Reserve acts again, as market turmoil continues

16 March 2020, 12:00 am
Other central banks follow up with emergency measures

Entering a bear market

14 March 2020, 12:00 am

No one is likely to win the oil-price war

12 March 2020, 4:15 pm
Saudi Arabia, Russia and America will all suffer

The challenge of addressing covid-19’s economic effects in Europe

12 March 2020, 4:15 pm
A swift response depends not only on national governments

Throughout history, pandemics have had profound economic effects

12 March 2020, 4:15 pm
Long-run economic effects are not always dreadful

Yes Bank’s rescue deepens worries about Indian finance

12 March 2020, 4:15 pm
It is the second bank scare in six months. Who is in charge?

Corporate bonds and loans are at the centre of a new financial scare

12 March 2020, 12:00 am
The pool of corporate lending has risen to $74trn

A spike in the dollar has been a reliable signal of global panic

12 March 2020, 12:00 am
Are we due one?

New trade barriers could hamper the supply of masks and medicines

11 March 2020, 12:00 am
Common-sense curbs to deal with covid-19? They may be costly

How market panic can feed back to the world economy

9 March 2020, 12:00 am
In short: via tighter credit for companies already at risk

Saudi-Russian price war sends oil and stockmarkets crashing

9 March 2020, 12:00 am
A collapse in the oil price spooks investors already nervous about covid-19

A novel pandemic security is no match for a novel virus

7 March 2020, 12:00 am
Catastrophe finance is a work in progress

Commodity economies face their own reckoning due to covid-19

5 March 2020, 3:55 pm
As prices fall, pressure for more health-care spending will rise

Share prices fall hard in recessions. It is tricky to take advantage

5 March 2020, 3:55 pm
Seeing through a falling stockmarket

A recession is unlikely but not impossible

5 March 2020, 3:55 pm
Covid-19 infects the world economy

Electronic platforms are challenging bond broker-dealers

5 March 2020, 3:55 pm
Their success is key to providing liquidity in stressed markets

What the markets imply about the economic impact of the coronavirus

5 March 2020, 12:00 am
Investors should get used to the rollercoaster