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Latest News


Investors at home and abroad are piling into American government debt

25 January 2020, 12:00 am
Fiscal profligacy can continue for now, but is it economically sensible?

Despite a truce, US-EU trade relations are still tense

25 January 2020, 12:00 am
Posturing at Davos aside, little of substance has changed

The costs of America’s lurch towards managed trade

25 January 2020, 12:00 am
China’s vow to buy more American goods carries the risk of waste and distortion

Competition, sanctions and the new geopolitics of Russian gas

23 January 2020, 3:56 pm
Rising Russian supply puts Europe’s energy policy to the test

Is low economic growth a sign of success?

23 January 2020, 3:56 pm
Yes, says Dietrich Vollrath, an economics professor, in a new book

Airbus will help airlines hedge volatile ticket prices

23 January 2020, 3:56 pm
But will airlines and travel groups get on board?

Why are rhodium prices on a roll?

23 January 2020, 3:56 pm
They have risen 63% so far this year

Why it can make sense to pay exorbitant asset-management fees

23 January 2020, 3:56 pm
There is a case for paying more if it truly diversifies your portfolio

India’s economy risks swapping stagnation for stagflation

23 January 2020, 12:00 am
Inflation is not only an onion phenomenon

Economists explore the consequences of steering technological progress

16 January 2020, 4:35 pm
Global warming and AI raise questions about how to manage innovation

Emerging economies are experiencing a prolonged productivity slowdown

16 January 2020, 4:35 pm
They seem doomed to lag behind rich countries for longer than had been hoped

Oil markets shrug off tension in the Middle East

16 January 2020, 4:35 pm
After a brief jump to over $70 a barrel, the price of Brent crude has subsided again

What the semiconductor industry tells us about the world economy

16 January 2020, 4:35 pm
Blessed are the chipmakers

The new US-China trade deal marks an uneasy truce

16 January 2020, 12:00 am
A truly grand pact remains some way off

BlackRock says it wants to do more for the climate

16 January 2020, 12:00 am
The proof will be in its investment and shareholder-voting strategies

Demography could be yet another force for divergence within the EU

11 January 2020, 12:00 am
It could worsen north-south and east-west divides

Economists are discussing their lack of diversity

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
But efforts to improve have stalled before

Why price controls are so uncontrollably persistent

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
New data from the World Bank show how much governments meddle in price-setting

Economists grapple with rising American mortality

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
Understanding “deaths of despair” will require fresh thinking

The killing of Qassem Suleimani sends gold to a seven-year high

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
But the precious metal had already been on a long rally

Jeremy Grantham on divesting from Big Oil

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
A contrarian investor on the hazards of owning fossil-fuel stocks

New research suggests that secular stagnation is centuries old

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
Central bankers’ biggest problem may be ancient—and getting worse

Why so many of America’s financial elite have left Greenwich

9 January 2020, 3:49 pm
Higher state taxes and hedge funds’ fading fortunes have taken their toll

China’s industrial policy has worked better than critics think

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
But the state-led model is creaking

Trade negotiators have missed a deadline to help protect fish stocks

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
Government subsidies support overfishing, but are hard to get rid of

The causes of a booming stockmarket are unlikely to last through 2020

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
Global growth, a trade deal and lower rates have added oomph to shares

Grab and Singtel will bid for a digital-banking licence in Singapore

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
A ride-hailing firm and a telecoms group take on South-East Asia’s banks

Why the most important hedge is against unexpected inflation

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
High asset prices stem from low inflation and interest rates

A study suggests that higher minimum wages hit poorer bosses’ pockets

2 January 2020, 3:50 pm
Wage floors are still progressive, but can have unintended consequences

2019 in review: trade wars and tech battles

25 December 2019, 12:00 am
Politics and technological disruption fray the economic order

How US-China trade has changed

18 December 2019, 3:51 pm
A year of disruption in charts

The coming months will test OPEC’s sprawling alliance

18 December 2019, 3:51 pm
December brings both good news and big questions for oil markets

Wealth managers are promising business-class service for the masses

18 December 2019, 3:51 pm
Banks, brokers and tech buffs vie to look after common people’s $72trn stash of cash

The ceasefire in the trade war between America and China is fragile

18 December 2019, 3:51 pm
New American tariffs have been cancelled in a “phase one” trade deal

Despite the Fed’s efforts, the repo market risks more turbulence

18 December 2019, 3:51 pm
A challenge awaits the central bank on December 31st

America and China reach a “phase one” trade deal

14 December 2019, 12:00 am
Details are scanty, but new American tariffs due this weekend are cancelled

Central bankers debate tackling climate change

14 December 2019, 12:00 am
Christine Lagarde thinks it is mission-critical. Others think it is mission creep

America wants the World Bank to stop making loans to China

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
It left deep poverty behind long ago. But the loans make the bank a tidy profit

A Nordic pioneer of negative interest rates gets cold feet

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
Sweden’s central bank has come under fire for weakening the krona

Trade war? China’s exporters have expanded their global market share

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
As America raises its walls, Chinese companies find new terrain

Are anti-competitive firms killing American innovation?

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
Thomas Philippon’s “The Great Reversal” spies in tech giants a risk to economic dynamism

The revised USMCA pleases both Democrats and Donald Trump

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
On this trade deal, their interests are aligned

Why are people attracted to 50:50 probabilities?

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
A working paper suggests that ambiguous odds are often interpreted as even

Why it is hard for foreign investors to be bullish on South Africa

12 December 2019, 3:53 pm
Mandela’s memory still evokes respect. But managing money involves a cold-eyed calculus

Why the revised USMCA pleases both Democrats and Donald Trump

11 December 2019, 5:00 am
On this trade deal, their interests are aligned

Climate change has made ESG a force in investing

7 December 2019, 12:00 am
But the figures behind ESG rating systems are dismal

Japan’s economic troubles offer a glimpse of a sobering future

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
As other rich countries age, their economies too will suffer from sluggish demand

For 15 years two currencies have outperformed all others

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
What accounts for the consistent strength of the baht and the shekel?

The Trump administration’s trade policies clash with each other

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
The president’s tariffs-by-tweet contrast with his officials’ deliberate moves

Tax our tech and we’ll blacklist your bubbly

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
Tariff threats move from trade to tax

Myanmar admits foreign life insurers

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
AIA, Chubb and others hope for rich pickings in South-East Asia’s most populous mainland country

Splits in Italy threaten to derail euro-zone reforms

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
Politicians are quarrelling over reforms to the zone’s bail-out fund

Created to democratise credit, P2P lenders are going after big money

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
But rising red tape and competition could see them stumble

The perils and rewards of economies in rehab

5 December 2019, 4:16 pm
Why investors in serial recidivists like Pakistan keep coming back for more

UniCredit promises cash for shareholders—and no takeovers

3 December 2019, 12:00 am
European banking’s long, slow grind is set to continue

Do not write off the macro hedge-fund manager just yet

28 November 2019, 3:43 pm
Investors schooled in calmer markets will struggle when volatility returns

It’s the end of the World Trade Organisation as we know it

28 November 2019, 3:43 pm
And America feels fine

Bond defaults have soared in China

28 November 2019, 3:43 pm
But officials and some investors see it as a sign of a healthier market

Charles Schwab agrees to buy TD Ameritrade for $26bn

28 November 2019, 3:43 pm
As technology squeezes margins, America’s discount brokers bulk up

Does the economy affect elections any more?

28 November 2019, 12:00 am
Robots may have swung the 2016 presidential election in America

Charles Schwab agrees to buy TD Ameritrade for $26bn

25 November 2019, 12:00 am
As technology squeezes margins, America’s biggest discount brokers bulk up

Firms that analyse climate risks are the latest hot property

23 November 2019, 12:00 am
The prospect of regulation means companies are seeking to prepare

This year’s Nobel prizes prompt soul-searching among economists

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
The rise of randomised controlled trials looks to some like a retreat from the biggest questions

Pope Francis promised to clean up the Vatican’s murky finances

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
But the Holy See is struggling to follow the path of the righteous

How machine learning is revolutionising market intelligence

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
The business of gathering market-sensitive information is ripe for automation

Excess Asian savings are weighing on global interest rates

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
But Asian officials argue that criticism of their current-account surpluses misses the mark

Why currency traders are serene even as Western politics gets messy

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
Implied euro-dollar volatility is trading at its lowest since 1999

What next for Europe’s banking union?

21 November 2019, 3:55 pm
Germany’s acceptance of one reform reignites a row over another

Big Tech takes aim at the low-profit retail-banking industry

21 November 2019, 12:00 am
Silicon Valley giants are after your data, not your money

Cost-benefit analyses offend against the notion that life is priceless

16 November 2019, 12:00 am
Their Gradgrindian logic is off-putting, but also mind-opening

The case for a falling dollar

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Why the dollar’s ascendancy is looking tired

The improved mood in financial markets

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Investors are shunning safe assets in favour of risky ones

America’s public-sector pension schemes are trillions of dollars short

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Police officers, teachers and other public workers face a brutal reckoning

Tighter production targets have failed to lift the price of oil

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Demand has risen more slowly than at any time since the financial crisis

Some Chinese firms turn out to have lied about their state pedigree

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Being owned by the government goes down well when you are looking for a loan

The Trump administration is trying to reforge carmakers’ supply chains

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
So far to little effect

How Jim Simons became the most successful investor of all time

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Renaissance Technologies’ flagship fund has earned $100bn in trading profits

Stiff sentences for bank fraud capture Italy’s sour public mood

14 November 2019, 4:01 pm
Populist politicians think widespread anger at bankers plays in their favour

Distressed debt funds are waiting for a downturn

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
The economic expansion and low interest rates starve them of deals

What is the illiquidity premium?

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
A primer on the rewards and hazards of investing in hard-to-trade assets

China tries to squeeze more out of a small trade deal with America

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
China wants to see American tariff cuts as a show of good faith

Have billionaires accumulated their wealth illegitimately?

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
The economics of billionaires

Mexico’s radical president serves up economic mediocrity

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
AMLO’s first year in office has lacked the growth he needs

Litigation finance faces ethical quandaries

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
Critics fret about conflicts of interest

Financial crime through video games is on the rise

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
The creators of Counter-Strike says criminals have used it

Belligerent unions are a sign of economic health

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
Strikes are neither a bad omen nor entirely unwelcome

Revisiting the euro’s north-south rift

7 November 2019, 4:08 pm
Income gaps remain, but cross-border flows are more balanced

A scholar of inequality ponders the future of capitalism

2 November 2019, 12:00 am
Branko Milanovic’s new book asks whether it is liberal or illiberal

Inflation in Turkey has fallen steeply

2 November 2019, 12:00 am
But the economy remains vulnerable to external shocks

Why the repo market went awry…

2 November 2019, 12:00 am
…and how the Fed should fix it

America and China are sparring over subsidies

31 October 2019, 4:02 pm
They are chasing the wrong solutions

China’s median age will soon overtake America’s

31 October 2019, 4:02 pm
Demography may be the Chinese economy’s biggest challenge

As profits dwindle, HSBC plans a radical overhaul

31 October 2019, 4:02 pm
Europe’s largest bank has been hit by the trade war and Brexit; but its woes point to deeper problems

Capital is flooding into Silicon Valley

31 October 2019, 4:02 pm
The wellspring of new businesses meets too much money

As profits dwindle, HSBC plans a radical overhaul

28 October 2019, 12:00 am
Europe’s largest bank has been hit by the trade wars and Brexit; but its woes point to deeper problems

The deep appeal of emerging markets is their lack of surface appeal

26 October 2019, 1:00 am
They are less at risk of a surfeit of sellers over buyers

The remarkable influence of the World Bank’s business rankings

26 October 2019, 1:00 am
The leaders of China, India and Saudi Arabia all pay it attention

What kind of bank will Wells Fargo be?

26 October 2019, 1:00 am
Other big lenders have already adopted new personalities

Japan’s new investment rules risk scaring off foreign investors

26 October 2019, 1:00 am
Analysts suspect activist investors may be their real target

Germans have mixed feelings about Christine Lagarde

26 October 2019, 1:00 am
Some had hoped Mario Draghi would be replaced by a German